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ARMAGEDDONREWARDSBILLY

🦈SHARK
0xc8ab...6418POLYMARKET
30-Day Profit/Loss
+$12K
All-Time
+$5,873
30D Volume
$973K
Win Rate
43.43%
100 active positions - heavily diversified

Safe Player

[SAF]

"Protect the bankroll."

Focuses on high-probability bets with limited downside. Never bets the farm.

Frequency
Risk Tolerance
Patience
Precision
Strengths
Capital preservationSteady returnsLow drawdowns
Weakness
Limited upside

Active Positions

20 open
Total Value$1.3M
Unrealized$-37K
9/20 profitable

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

NOEntry: 0.5¢Size: 350,000HIGH
+$122K
+69.7%

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

NOEntry: 0.9¢Size: 288,179.9HIGH
$-21K
-8.21%

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

NOEntry: 0.96¢Size: 140,294.41HIGH
+$923
+0.68%

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?

YESEntry: 0.98¢Size: 59,679.98LOW
+$943
+1.62%

Will Donald Trump be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

NOEntry: 1¢Size: 59,084.21LOW
+$242
+0.42%

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YESEntry: 0.5¢Size: 350,000.01LOW
$-122K
-69.69%

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

YESEntry: 0.73¢Size: 64,050.81LOW
+$2,351
+5.05%

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

NOEntry: 0.88¢Size: 54,999.97LOW
-$1,949
-4.03%

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T?

NOEntry: 0.96¢Size: 46,132.03LOW
+$2,017
+4.58%

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

NOEntry: 0.8¢Size: 68,406.65LOW
$-12K
-22.86%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

YESEntry: 0.92¢Size: 42,977.71LOW
+$65
+0.17%

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

NOEntry: 0.91¢Size: 37,565.8LOW
-$1,464
-4.25%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?

NOEntry: 0.94¢Size: 31,300LOW
-$275
-0.93%

World Cup: Unbeaten Champion?

YESEntry: 0.8¢Size: 36,972.71LOW
-$2,023
-6.84%

Fed rate hike in 2026?

NOEntry: 0.53¢Size: 39,274.33LOW
+$2,353
+11.43%

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

NOEntry: 0.5¢Size: 36,709.1LOW
+$4,448
+24.3%

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

NOEntry: 0.95¢Size: 25,279.12LOW
-$2,289
-9.49%

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?

NOEntry: 0.92¢Size: 21,832.82LOW
-$968
-4.82%

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

NOEntry: 0.64¢Size: 40,887.71LOW
-$7,558
-28.66%

US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?

YESEntry: 0.45¢Size: 41,999.93LOW
-$95
-0.49%

Trade History

Last 50 trades
20 BUYS30 SELLS
$952K vol
Jun 12
6 trades
BUY

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?

9,866.79@1¢
$9,838.8
07:59 PM
BUY

SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?

49,679.97@0.99¢
$49,162.01
04:49 PM
BUY

Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be between $150 and $200?

11,833.33@0.99¢
$11,715
03:48 PM
BUY

Will Donald Trump be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

50,192.06@1¢
$50,092.38
02:17 PM
SELL

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

20,957.27@0.96¢
$20,056.65
08:55 AM
SELL

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

8,823.32@0.84¢
$7,415.96
05:35 AM
Jun 11
9 trades
SELL

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

3,803.3@0.95¢
$3,610.93
11:26 PM
SELL

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

31,149.36@0.54¢
$16,767.89
11:12 PM
SELL

US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?

2,878.51@0.71¢
$2,043.74
05:14 PM
SELL

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

45,000.02@0.96¢
$43,353.02
03:59 PM
SELL

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

4,621.13@0.92¢
$4,244.41
02:11 PM
SELL

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

13,346.43@0.92¢
$12,233.06
02:05 PM
SELL

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?

7,570.2@0.99¢
$7,495.6
03:41 AM
SELL

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

7,840.88@0.96¢
$7,519.95
02:53 AM
SELL

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?

4,086.71@0.99¢
$4,030.07
02:19 AM
Jun 10
27 trades
SELL

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?

5,882.38@0.97¢
$5,709.31
11:32 PM
SELL

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

11,142.19@0.93¢
$10,362.24
11:30 PM
SELL

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?

20,683.21@0.86¢
$17,819.72
11:22 PM
SELL

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

11,494.82@0.68¢
$7,781.19
11:22 PM
SELL

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

6,596.66@0.95¢
$6,246.69
11:22 PM
SELL

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?

3,587.31@0.98¢
$3,502.6
11:21 PM
SELL

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?

4,221.78@0.98¢
$4,137.44
11:21 PM
BUY

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?

2,476.76@1¢
$2,472.61
11:17 PM
BUY

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

10,957.06@0.94¢
$10,299.64
11:16 PM
SELL

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

9,999.99@0.96¢
$9,593
10:56 PM
BUY

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

30,000@0.94¢
$28,200
10:48 PM
BUY

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10?

5,093.03@1¢
$5,087.94
01:28 PM
SELL

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10?

2,617.8@0.94¢
$2,463.88
12:32 PM
BUY

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

18,369.57@0.92¢
$16,900
11:41 AM
BUY

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on June 10?

8,519.34@0.95¢
$8,093.37
11:35 AM
SELL

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

3,352.45@0.94¢
$3,158.01
11:16 AM
SELL

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?

5,159.17@0.95¢
$4,898.53
11:14 AM
SELL

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

4,171.47@0.93¢
$3,879.47
11:09 AM
BUY

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

3,335.52@0.94¢
$3,133.62
10:23 AM
BUY

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

10,000@0.94¢
$9,400
10:23 AM
BUY

Will Donald Trump be on-stage at a bell ceremony commemorating SpaceX's IPO?

2,749.54@0.99¢
$2,720.94
09:52 AM
SELL

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

108,210.74@0.99¢
$107,453.26
09:39 AM
BUY

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

30,381.77@0.92¢
$27,951.23
09:37 AM
BUY

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

40,000@0.96¢
$38,400
06:41 AM
BUY

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

8,287.03@0.96¢
$7,936.84
02:37 AM
BUY

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?

3,500@0.92¢
$3,220
02:31 AM
SELL

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

29,057.8@0.99¢
$28,767.22
01:59 AM
Jun 9
5 trades
BUY

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?

2,552.62@0.89¢
$2,271.83
11:10 PM
SELL

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

21,442.86@0.9¢
$19,298.57
05:26 PM
SELL

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

9,652@0.99¢
$9,536.18
12:38 AM
SELL

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

18,324.87@0.99¢
$18,097.93
12:14 AM
BUY

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 10, 2026?

12,119.58@0.99¢
$12,055.48
12:01 AM
Jun 8
3 trades
SELL

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

20,000@0.93¢
$18,605.46
03:06 PM
SELL

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?

6,837.1@0.89¢
$6,085.02
02:27 PM
BUY

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?

240,685.28@0.99¢
$237,315.69
01:02 PM

RELATED SIGNALS

10 signals from this trader

analyzed_trade

C Signal: WATCH YES

Strong trader score (76); Strong whale consensus (74%)

06/12
analyzed_trade

B Signal: WATCH YES

Strong trader score (77); Strong whale consensus (76%)

06/12
analyzed_trade

B Signal: WATCH YES

Strong trader score (77); Strong whale consensus (100%)

06/12
analyzed_trade

B Signal: WATCH NO

06/12
analyzed_trade

C Signal: AVOID YES

06/11
analyzed_trade

C Signal: AVOID YES

06/11
analyzed_trade

C Signal: AVOID YES

Strong trader score (77)

06/10
analyzed_trade

C Signal: WATCH YES

Strong trader score (77); Strong whale consensus (75%)

06/10
analyzed_trade

B Signal: WATCH NO

06/10
analyzed_trade

C Signal: WATCH YES

Strong whale consensus (73%)

06/10