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ARMAGEDDONREWARDSBILLY

👑LEGEND
0xc8ab...6418POLYMARKET
30-Day Profit/Loss
+$204K
All-Time
+$118K
30D Volume
$6.0M
Win Rate
36.88%
Only 36.88% win rate but still profitable - plays for size
$203K+ profit in 30 days - legendary status
$6.0M+ volume - major market mover

Diversifier

[DIV]

"Eggs. Many baskets."

Spreads bets across many markets. Portfolio approach to prediction markets.

Frequency
Risk Tolerance
Patience
Precision
Strengths
Risk spreadConsistentMarket exposure
Weakness
Diluted winners

Active Positions

20 open
Total Value$586K
Unrealized-$6,743
9/20 profitable

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

NOEntry: 0.5¢Size: 250,000HIGH
+$70K
+55.7%

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

YESEntry: 0.5¢Size: 250,000.01MED
$-70K
-55.69%

Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?

YESEntry: 0.81¢Size: 65,241.96MED
$-10K
-19.08%

Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?

NOEntry: 0.82¢Size: 42,479.55MED
+$2,281
+6.58%

Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election?

NOEntry: 0.82¢Size: 42,571.68LOW
-$6,953
-19.8%

Will Kuomintang (KMT) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

YESEntry: 0.87¢Size: 34,416.43LOW
-$2,087
-6.96%

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

NOEntry: 0.87¢Size: 32,404.89LOW
-$505
-1.78%

Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?

NOEntry: 0.83¢Size: 27,407.42LOW
+$2,295
+10.08%

Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026?

NOEntry: 0.56¢Size: 25,132.64LOW
+$8,493
+60.68%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.5% before 2027?

NOEntry: 0.82¢Size: 31,690.6LOW
-$4,736
-18.26%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 6.0% before 2027?

NOEntry: 0.93¢Size: 19,025.56LOW
+$122
+0.69%

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

NOEntry: 0.91¢Size: 13,000.01LOW
-$88
-0.73%

Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections?

NOEntry: 0.87¢Size: 13,837.75LOW
-$972
-8.03%

Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

YESEntry: 0.92¢Size: 12,000LOW
-$240
-2.15%

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

YESEntry: 0.52¢Size: 12,231.41LOW
+$4,257
+66.96%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.7% before 2027?

NOEntry: 0.84¢Size: 9,996.01LOW
+$414
+4.96%

Will Ann Kao win the next Hsinchu City Mayor election?

YESEntry: 0.88¢Size: 9,528.26LOW
+$11
+0.14%

Will Trump endorse María Corina Machado for Venezuela president in 2026?

NOEntry: 0.8¢Size: 8,841.49LOW
+$1,203
+17.05%

Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026?

NOEntry: 0.93¢Size: 8,679.1LOW
-$70
-0.86%

Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Republicans win the Senate?

NOEntry: 0.96¢Size: 8,322.89LOW
-$88
-1.11%

Trade History

Last 50 trades
8 BUYS42 SELLS
$279K vol
Oct 13
1 trades
SELL

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

6,412.53@0.96¢
$6,147.42
01:23 PM
Oct 12
3 trades
SELL

Will North Carolina enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2028?

3,262.4@0.71¢
$2,316.3
06:47 AM
SELL

Will CoreWeave announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?

3,884@0.8¢
$3,107.2
06:46 AM
SELL

Will Oklahoma enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027?

3,962.82@0.82¢
$3,249.51
06:46 AM
Oct 11
2 trades
SELL

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 15?

4,000.03@0.92¢
$3,680.03
08:48 AM
SELL

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?

3,000@0.96¢
$2,881.64
05:30 AM
Oct 10
1 trades
SELL

US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12?

4,000.01@0.95¢
$3,816.43
01:44 PM
Oct 9
1 trades
SELL

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

10,000@0.96¢
$9,622.81
10:53 AM
Oct 8
1 trades
SELL

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

10,000@0.81¢
$8,100
07:31 PM
Oct 6
1 trades
SELL

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?

3,770.54@0.92¢
$3,468.9
11:04 PM
Oct 4
1 trades
SELL

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

4,000@0.97¢
$3,861.25
05:25 PM
Oct 1
1 trades
SELL

Will the US announce a diesel export ban by October 31?

4,545.04@0.9¢
$4,090.54
01:45 PM
Sep 28
1 trades
SELL

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

5,999.99@0.98¢
$5,852.97
10:04 AM
Sep 26
3 trades
SELL

Iran full airspace closure by September 30?

5,000@0.95¢
$4,759.34
07:35 AM
BUY

Will Bitget resume withdrawals by September 30, 2026?

3,750@0.96¢
$3,607.98
06:29 AM
BUY

Will Bitget resume withdrawals by September 27, 2026?

6,760.63@0.95¢
$6,417.65
06:29 AM
Sep 25
2 trades
SELL

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?

2,927.89@0.9¢
$2,635.1
06:20 AM
SELL

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

7,431.37@0.95¢
$7,087.54
06:11 AM
Sep 24
5 trades
SELL

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

5,000@0.66¢
$3,300
04:19 PM
SELL

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

5,000@0.64¢
$3,200
02:17 PM
SELL

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

12,104.08@0.63¢
$7,625.57
12:42 PM
SELL

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

8,119.74@0.64¢
$5,196.63
12:42 PM
SELL

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

10,000@0.67¢
$6,700
12:37 PM
Sep 23
1 trades
SELL

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?

5,000@0.94¢
$4,700
02:13 PM
Sep 22
6 trades
SELL

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

14,000@0.52¢
$7,280
07:47 PM
SELL

US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 30?

6,563.76@0.9¢
$5,899.45
05:02 PM
SELL

US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?

14,633.15@0.88¢
$12,877.17
10:03 AM
SELL

Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026?

3,500@0.71¢
$2,467.87
10:02 AM
SELL

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

15,383.29@0.53¢
$8,153.14
09:56 AM
SELL

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

5,336.54@0.54¢
$2,881.73
09:50 AM
Sep 21
7 trades
SELL

Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026?

5,242.43@0.65¢
$3,414.12
04:11 PM
SELL

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

5,095.05@0.85¢
$4,354.49
01:53 PM
SELL

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

4,999@0.49¢
$2,449.51
11:46 AM
SELL

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

14,234.28@0.5¢
$7,117.14
11:42 AM
SELL

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

6,000@0.5¢
$3,000
11:42 AM
SELL

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

15,000@0.5¢
$7,500
11:32 AM
SELL

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

20,699.57@0.54¢
$11,177.77
06:53 AM
Sep 18
3 trades
SELL

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

10,000@0.54¢
$5,400
08:54 PM
SELL

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

20,000@0.54¢
$10,800
06:06 PM
SELL

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

10,000@0.83¢
$8,300
05:11 AM
Sep 17
1 trades
SELL

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

10,000@0.96¢
$9,551.52
06:53 PM
Sep 6
2 trades
SELL

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

4,901.4@0.92¢
$4,509.29
12:37 PM
BUY

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

2,789.34@0.93¢
$2,594.09
12:18 PM
Sep 5
1 trades
SELL

Iran leadership change by September 30?

2,560.57@0.97¢
$2,487.19
07:01 AM
Sep 4
1 trades
SELL

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?

8,977.78@0.99¢
$8,864.92
12:27 PM
Sep 1
5 trades
BUY

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by September 30, 2026?

8,335.91@0.9¢
$7,483.89
04:36 PM
BUY

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

13,000@0.59¢
$7,670
04:27 PM
BUY

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

10,000@0.59¢
$5,900
04:23 PM
BUY

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

10,000@0.59¢
$5,900
04:20 PM
BUY

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?

10,000@0.58¢
$5,800
09:19 AM

RELATED SIGNALS

10 signals from this trader

analyzed_trade

C Signal: WATCH YES

10/12
analyzed_trade

C Signal: WATCH YES

10/12
analyzed_trade

C Signal: WATCH YES

10/12
analyzed_trade

C Signal: WATCH NO

10/11
analyzed_trade

C Signal: WATCH NO

10/10
analyzed_trade

C Signal: WATCH YES

10/09
analyzed_trade

C Signal: WATCH YES

10/09
analyzed_trade

C Signal: WATCH YES

10/07
analyzed_trade

C Signal: WATCH YES

10/04
analyzed_trade

C Signal: WATCH YES

10/01